Southern Tasmanian forecast by Craig Brokensha (issued Wednesday March 5th)

Best Days: Friday and Saturday mornings

Features of the Forecast (tl;dr)

• Poor tomorrow with strong, easing S winds
• Small new mid-period SW swell Fri, easing Sat
• N tending S/SE winds Fri, strengthening later
• N tending S/SE winds Sat
• Building S windswell Mon with early variable tending strong S/SW winds
• Moderate sized S swell Tue with strong S/SW winds

Recap

Yesterday was fun with clean conditions and 1-2ft of easing swell while this morning we’ve got tiny waves with great conditions.

This week and weekend (Mar 6 - 9)

Tomorrow will be a lay day as a trough brings strong S’ly winds that will ease through the day and no meaningful increase in swell.

Come Friday, a small mid-period SW swell is due to 2ft on the sets, generated by a healthy fetch of W’ly winds on the polar shelf the last couple of days.

The swell should ease Saturday but still be 1-2ft in the morning, tiny come Sunday.

Local winds will improve into Friday morning, swinging light N’ly ahead of sea breezes, strengthening from the S/SE later, with a N-N/NW offshore ahead of sea breezes on Saturday.

Moving into next week, and a deepening trough feeding into a low to our east will bring strengthening S’ly winds into Monday afternoon and Tuesday, kicking up building levels of windswell that look to be moderate in size but with strong S/SW winds. Any upgrade in this system and it might get interesting but otherwise it looks to be a waste.

At the same time an inconsistent W/SW groundswell from a strong polar low in our distant swell window is due, but it’ll be spoilt by the onshore wind.