Southern Tasmanian Surf Forecast by Craig Brokensha (issued Monday June 5th)

Best Days: Today, tomorrow morning, Saturday, Sunday

Features of the Forecast (tl;dr)

• Small SW groundswell tomorrow, easing with strong N/NE tending NE winds
• Moderate sized, inconsistent W/SW groundswell building Sat, peaking in the evening, easing Sun
• Mod-fresh N/NW winds Sat, stronger N tending N/NE Sun

Recap

Smaller surf Saturday after easing back from Friday though with nice clean conditions early, picking up again into Sunday with inconsistent 3-4ft sets with variable winds.

This morning the swell is fading again with clean, but fun sets dropping from the 2ft range.

This week and weekend (Jun 6 – 11)

Down, down, down. That's the outlook for the coming period thanks to the frontal activity through the Southern Ocean being focussed up towards and over Western Australia.

This is too far north of our swell window, but we are expected to see a new, inconsistent W/SW groundswell from a more distant source filling in through the weekend.

Firstly tomorrow, a small reinforcing background swell should maintain 1-2ft waves across Clifton before easing and with strong N/NE tending NE winds.

The swell will fade into Wednesday, bottoming out Thursday and Friday.

Now, into the weekend we should see a strong but inconsistent groundswell for Saturday/Sunday.

The source of this swell will be a great polar low forming in the Heard Island region today, generating a fetch of severe-gale to storm-force W/NW winds. The low will weaken while drawing out in length and scope, stretching up towards Western Australia tomorrow evening and Wednesday.

This will be up and away from our swell window, but the initial stages are the strongest and should produce a good, inconsistent W/SW groundswell that's due to reach 3ft+ through the afternoon, easing back from 2-3ft on Sunday.

There'll be long waits for sets but conditions will be clean with persistent N/NW winds Saturday, stronger N tending N/NE on Sunday.

Longer term it looks like westerly swells will continue to dominate but check back here on Wednesday for the latest.