Building swell from Friday
Southern Tasmanian Surf Forecast by Craig Brokensha (issued Wednesday July 13th)
Best Days: Tomorrow beginners, early Friday, Saturday, Sunday morning, Monday morning
Features of the Forecast (tl;dr)
- Tiny tomorrow with NW tending variable winds
- New SW swell Fri with W/NW tending W/SW winds
- Reinforcing W/SW swell Sat with N/NW tending N winds, easing Sun with fresh NW tending strong S/SW winds
- Moderate sized S/SW swell Mon with variable tending SE winds
Recap
Tiny surf yesterday but nice and clean while today we've got onshore surf and a continuation of tiny waves.
This week and weekend (Jul 14 - 17)
Looking at the end of the week and tomorrow will remain tiny but become cleaner with an offshore NW tending variable breeze.
A new pulse of SW swell due Friday looks a little smaller, with the strengthening mid-latitude front, dipping south-east and strengthening to our south-west today now looking a bit weaker.
A short-lived fetch of strong to gale-force W-W/NW winds should produce a small swell to 2ft across Clifton on Friday, easing from 1-2ft on Saturday.
Winds are a little dicey but should be W/NW on Friday morning with a shallow W/SW change moving through mid-late morning.
Saturday looks great with N/NW tending N winds and there should be a new pulse of mid-period W/SW swell in the water, generated by a weak polar front Thursday.
Again the fetch around this front looks a touch weak and west but should keep 2ft waves hitting Clifton, easing from 1-2ft on Sunday.
Winds on Sunday will be best early and from the N/NW, giving into a strong S/SW change mid-morning so go the early.
Now, behind the weak front generating the weekend's reinforcing W/SW swell, a strengthening polar outbreak will form south of us, with a great fetch of strong to gale-force S/SW winds to be projected north up through our southern swell window.
The models diverge a little on the strength of this front but we should see at least 3ft of swell and with variable tending SE winds. We'll have to have a closer look at this on Friday.