Southern Tasmanina Surf Forecast by Craig Brokensha (issued Monday July 11th)

Best Days: Friday, Saturday

Features of the Forecast (tl;dr)

• Tiny surf over the coming days with a SW-S/SW change tomorrow AM, lingering Wed
• Tiny, clean swell for beginners Thu
• New SW groundswell Fri with N/NW winds
• Secondary pulse for Sat with fresher N winds

Recap

Terrible weather and surf on Saturday with strong but easing onshore winds, while our rare E/SE groundswell for Sunday came in strongly with 2-3ft sets across Clifton, and 4-6ft surf further down the Arm.

Today the swell is fading with ideal conditions for beginners.

This week and weekend (Jul 12 - 17)

The coming week isn’t great for surf at all until Friday.

We’ll see tiny waves tomorrow and an early light offshore wind will give into SW breezes, strengthening from the S/SW as a surface trough moves through.

This will leave lingering SW-S/SW winds on Wednesday with tiny levels of W’ly swell, cleaner Thursday but tiny and only for beginners.

A south-east tracking front is due to develop into a low to our south-west on Wednesday but the swell generating fetch looks patchy at best. A burst of strong to gale-force W/SW winds are likely, producing a small pulse of swell to 2ft on the sets Friday. This is the pick of the period with N/NW tending variable winds.

Another south-east tracking low may generate a SW pulse for Saturday to a similar size and winds will freshen from the N’th ahead of another incoming trough and S’ly change Sunday.

Into next week we’re looking at better pulses of S/SW swell but winds are a little dicey with troughy weather. More on this Wednesday.