Southern Tasmanian Surf Forecast by Craig Brokensha (issued Monday July 4th)

Best Days: Tuesday, Wednesday, Thursday morning beginners, Saturday

Features of the Forecast (tl;dr)

• Easing SW swell tomorrow with W/NW tending variable SW winds
• New S/SW swell Wed with N/NE winds
• Easing S/SW swell Thu with N tending S winds
• Gusty S winds Fri with a building S swell
• Easing S swell Sat with variable winds

Recap

Smaller surf on Saturday but nice and clean with 2ft sets, while our reinforcing swell for Sunday came in a bit bigger and to 2-3ft.

Today another pulse of SW groundswell was expected to reach 3-4ft, but wave heights have held at 2-3ft. The low generating looked to have moved a little too quick through our swell window. Still conditions are great and fun.

This week and weekend (Jul 5 - 10)

The current swell should ease back into tomorrow and our reinforcing pulse for Wednesday now looks smaller. The final front in the run of activity through our swell window the past week is now expected to be a little weaker than forecast.

Still we should see 2ft surf through tomorrow and more from the S/SW Wednesday, then easing Thursday from 1-1.5ft.

Winds will be light most of tomorrow, W/NW in the morning and variable SW into the afternoon. Wednesday looks great with persistent N/NE winds opening up lots of options.

Thursday will be clean again ahead of a trough and shallow S'ly change during the day.

Now, this trough is expected to deepen south-east of us Friday, with a fetch of strong to sub-gale-force S'ly winds due to be projected north up through our swell window.

We'll see a building mid-period S'ly swell through Friday, peaking Saturday morning but with strengthening S'ly winds on the former, weaker and more variable Saturday.

We could see a local offshore developing Saturday with easing 3ft sets but we'll confirm this Wednesday.

Following this there's nothing major on the cards, but more on this Wednesday.