Active period of surf from Wednesday

Craig Brokensha picture
Craig Brokensha (Craig)

Southern Tasmanian Surf Forecast by Craig Brokensha (issued Monday March 21st)

Best Days: Beginners dawn tomorrow or the afternoon, Thursday, early Friday, Saturday, Sunday

Features of the Forecast (tl;dr)

  • Easing S/SW swell tomorrow with dawn N/NW tending S/SW winds, then variable into the PM
  • Building W/SW windswell Wed with moderate W/NW tending strong W/SW winds, with mid-period W/SW swell Thu with N/NW tending W/NW winds
  • Easing surf Fri with W/NW tending SW winds
  • Moderate sized S/SW groundswell Sat AM, easing with N tending S/SE winds
  • Secondary SW groundswell Sun with fresh N/NE winds

Recap

Tiny surf for beginners all weekend, while a new swell has popped up today though I've missed the source. It's a mid-period number out of the S/SW that's been met with favourable winds and good conditions.

This week and weekend (Mar 22 - 27)

Today's swell is due to fade into tomorrow leaving tiny waves on the coast and conditions will be clean at dawn and into the afternoon, bumpy mid-morning to midday.

This will be thanks to a trough bringing a shallow S/SW change just after dawn, with it due to tend variable into the afternoon.

From Wednesday we've got some healthy swell activity on the cards as a series of strengthening polar frontal systems move in from the west.

An initial and weakest front moving through Wednesday will kick up some building windswell to 2ft+ through the afternoon with mid-period energy due to maintain this size on Thursday.

Winds will be strong from the W/NW tending W/SW on Wednesday, great Thursday and N/NW in the morning, shifting W/NW into the afternoon.

A slightly stronger polar fetch of W/SW gales should generate a better pulse of SW groundswell for Saturday, coming in at 3ft across Clifton (easing into the afternoon) along with light N'ly winds ahead of S/SE sea breezes.

We'll then see continued healthy polar frontal activity generating fun pulses of reinforcing S/SW swell Sunday to the 3ft range again along with gusty N/NE winds.

Following this there's plenty more swell on the cards for next week, but more on this in the coming updates.