Small swells for the period

Craig Brokensha picture
Craig Brokensha (Craig)

Southern Tasmanian Surf Forecast by Craig Brokensha (issued Friday March 18th)

Best Days: Tomorrow morning beginners, Sunday morning, Monday morning beginners, Thursday

Features of the Forecast (tl;dr)

  • Tiny W/SW swell tomorrow with W/NW tending S/SE winds
  • Inconsistent W/SW groundswell Sun with dawn N winds, quickly tending W/NW ahead of S/SE sea breezes
  • Easing swell Mon with fresh N/NE tending strong E/NE winds
  • Building mid-period W/SW swell Wed PM with fresh W/NW tending strong SW winds, easing Thu with N/NW tending NW winds

Recap

Nothing of note with tiny surf yesterday, similar today but onshore and with a building windswell.

This week and weekend (Mar 17 - 20)

Looking at the weekend, tomorrow will be best for beginners with a slight lift in mid-period W/SW swell to 1-1.5ft generated by a weakening mid-latitude front dipping through our swell window mid-week.

Conditions will be clean with a light W/NW offshore before afternoon sea breezes kick in.

A stronger trailing mid-latitude low generated a tighter fetch of W/NW gales through our swell window and this should produce a touch more size to 1-2ft on Sunday but expect a long wait for the sets.

Conditions look great early with a light N'ly, tending W/NW by mid-morning as a weak trough approaches, then variable ahead of sea breezes. Therefore aim for a morning surf.

Moving into next week and the surf will remain clean Monday morning with a moderate N/NE breeze but tiny, easing swell. Beginners should have fun, while a trough looks to bring a S/SW change Tuesday morning as the surf remains tiny.

Longer term a relatively weak but broad polar front will project up and under us through early to mid next week, bringing some new mid-period W/SW swell for Wednesday afternoon and Thursday morning to 2ft or so.

Winds will be clean Wednesday morning ahead of the swell, shifting strong SW into the afternoon, best Thursday with N/NW tending NW winds.

Following this there's a bit of polar storm activity on the cards but more on this Monday. Have a great weekend!