Southern Tasmanian Surf Forecast by Craig Brokensha (issued Monday March 14th)

Best Days: Selected spots for the keen tomorrow afternoon, Saturday morning, Sunday morning

Features of the Forecast (tl;dr)

• Weak, small W/SW swell tomorrow with fresh E/SE tending strong E/NE winds in the PM, fading Wed with fresh N/NE tending strong NE winds
• Good new W/SW groundswell for Sat with W/NW tending S/SE winds, smaller but steadying Sun with N tending S/SE winds

Recap

Small, clean fun 1-2ft waves Saturday morning, with a stronger swell kicking into the afternoon with sea breezes, then easing from a clean 2-3ft yesterday morning. Today a trough has brought an onshore change with tiny leftovers.

This week and weekend (Mar 15 - 20)

A small lift in weak, mid-period W/SW swell is due tomorrow, generated by a weak fetch of W/SW winds on the tail of the strong polar low linked to the weekend's swell.

1-2ft sets are due across Clifton but conditions will be poor with a fresh E/SE breeze, improving into the afternoon and tending E/NE but strengthening. Still selected breaks will be the only option for a clean wave.

A gusty N/NE tending NE breeze is due Wednesday as the swell fades from 1ft+.

The surf will bottom out into the end of the week ahead of a new pulse of W/SW groundswell late Friday but more so Saturday.

The initial stages of the strong mid-latitude front linked to this swell will be too far north of our swell window, pushing under Western Australia through Wednesday.

The front is due to dip south-east while approaching us on Thursday, generating a fetch of gale to near severe-gale W/SW winds through our western swell window. This should produce a fun pulse of W/SW groundswell for Saturday morning to 2ft to possibly 3ft along with light, morning W/NW winds and S'ly sea breezes.

The swell will ease into Sunday but a reinforcing pulse of less consistent swell should maintain 1-2ft sets, generated by a secondary, less favourably aligned mid-latitude front moving in from the west. Conditions will be cleaner with a light N'ly offshore before S/SE sea breezes kick in.

Longer term the outlook goes quiet with nothing significant on the cards into next week so make the most of the coming small windows.