Good swell, though you'll have to work the winds

Craig Brokensha picture
Craig Brokensha (Craig)

Southern Tasmania Surf Forecast by Craig Brokensha (issued Monday 6th July)

Best Days: Wednesday, Thursday, Friday, Saturday for beginners

Recap

A fun mix of swells to a clean 1-2ft on Saturday morning, onshore and to 2ft yesterday as a cold front pushed up and past us. Today we've got cleaner and better waves to 2ft, though winds have since gone onshore owing to a cold front linked to a strong polar low and our coming days of swell.

This week and weekend (Jul 7 - 12)

Over the weekend a strong low formed in our western swell window but then dropped into our south-western window, tracking east along the polar shelf while generating a fetch of severe-gale W/SW winds. This low spawned a front which pushed up and across us today, with the low now moving east of us this evening.

There's been no change to the expected size across the region, with Clifton coming in around 4ft+ tomorrow, easing slowly from 3ft+ on Wednesday morning.

Conditions tomorrow unfortunately look less than ideal in the wake of today's change with W/SW tending SW winds, much better Wednesday with a N/NE tending variable breeze.

Thursday and Friday should remain clean but the swell will be back to 1-2ft, tiny through Saturday though not flat owing to persistent weak polar fronts moving through our swell window.

Further into the weekend there's nothing too major on the cards and we'll see a strong node of the Long Wave Trough focussing across WA next week, aiming some significant frontal activity their way. For us there's no major size on the cards as of yet, but more on this Wednesday.