Southern Tasmania Surf Forecast by Craig Brokensha (issued Monday 22nd June)

Best Days: Wednesday from late morning, Thursday morning

Recap

A building swell through Saturday starting from a clean and low base of 1-2ft, easing back from 2ft yesterday and then tiny today.

This week and weekend (Jun 23 - 28)

On Friday it looked like the broad low that's currently moving over us, bringing the onshore winds and rain would stay just south enough to not generate much in the way of SE swell.

Well that's changed a little now and we're due to see strong SE winds aimed through our swell window from this evening through tomorrow, kicking up an easy 3-4ft or so of SE windswell tomorrow but with strong SE winds.

The low will start to move east and then north of our swell window on Wednesday resulting in the swell easing and swinging more E/SE in direction. We should still see 3ft to likely 4ft sets Wednesday morning, smaller into the afternoon. Winds will be onshore at dawn out of the SE, but they're likely to ease and tend more variable out of the E/NE, creating improving conditions.

Thursday will be small to tiny and 1-2ft if we're lucky but cleaner with a N tending W/NW breeze.

Now, as touched on last update the outlook for the rest of the week and next week is poor with the storm track not favourably aligned at all for swell production across our region.

Quite the opposite of a node of the Long Wave Trough, that being an upper block will move in later week, with no major polar storms due to fire up in our swell window. More on this Wednesday.