Southern Tasmania Surf Forecast by Craig Brokensha (issued Wednesday 3rd June)

Best Days: Thursday, Friday morning, Saturday morning, Sunday morning, Monday

Recap

Clean and small 1-2ft waves to start yesterday ahead of a stonger kick in swell through the afternoon. Today we're seeing the most size with a mix of W/SW groundswell and localised SW swell with strong onshore winds and 4ft surf.

This week and weekend (Jun 4 - 7)

The strongest of the storms moving in from the west the last couple of days (producing a fetch of severe-gale to storm-force W/SW winds) is linked to today's solid kick in swell and onshore change.

We'll see the W/SW groundswell easing through tomorrow, mixed in with some short-range S/SW swell from the tail of the front.

3-4ft sets are due across Clifton, easing back through the day and then down from a smaller 2ft Friday morning.

Conditions tomorrow will be great with a N/NW tending variable breeze tomorrow, with N/NW winds Friday morning giving into a strong S/SW change early afternoon.

Some new SW groundswell should be seen Friday afternoon ahead of a better S/SW groundswell Saturday.

The source of these swells is a developing polar low south of about WA. A pre-frontal fetch of strong to gale-force NW tending W/NW winds should produce a SW groundswell to 2-3ft later Friday (though with that onshore change).

A stronger trailing fetch of polar W/SW gale to severe-gale winds will generate a stronger S/SW groundswell for Saturday morning to 3ft to occasionally 4ft, easing through the day. Winds are now looking more favourable with the earlier change on Friday, tending back W/NW-NW on Saturday morning, W/SW into the afternoon.

While the swell will be smaller Sunday, a new reinforcing mid-period SW swell is due from a developing weaker polar front on the tail of the low.

Surf to 2-3ft should be seen Sunday, easing from a similar size Monday with NW tending W/SW winds on the former and persistent N/NW winds Monday.

Longer term the outlook is positive with strengthening polar storm activity due early next week through our swell window, but more on this Friday.