Southern Tasmania Surf Forecast by Craig Brokensha (issued Monday 9th March)

Best Days: Beginners tomorrow morning, Wednesday morning, Thursday, Friday morning, Monday morning

Recap

Onshore waves for the desperate Saturday, easing into yesterday as onshore winds lingered.

Today conditions were a bit cleaner but the swell tiny.

This week and weekend (Mar 10 - 15)

Tiny surf is due to continue into tomorrow, lifting slightly on Wednesday with a new mix of inconsistent W/SW groundswell and mid-period SW swell.

The source of these swells was a distant polar low come weaker polar front, with 1-2ft sets due across Clifton on Wednesday with a light N'ly offshore ahead of afternoon sea breezes.

A slightly better kick in SW groundswell should be seen Thursday morning to 2ft across Clifton, generated by a better polar front moving in from the west today and tomorrow. Pre-frontal W/NW winds will give way to a better post-frontal fetch of W/SW gales, producing a fun pulse of size Thursday.

N'ly tending N/NE winds should create decent conditions all day as the swell eases into the afternoon.

Moving on, and our best pulse of inconsistent W/SW groundswell for Friday is still on track, with the strongest of the polar storms currently shaping up just east of the Heard Island region.

The fetch of most interest for us is severe-gale W/SW winds moving along the polar shelf, weakening once south-southwest of WA, hence the inconsistency.

Size wise there's no real change to Friday's size call, with inconsistent sets to 2ft to occasionally 3ft on the cards with offshore N'ly winds all morning ahead of an early afternoon change.

Unfortunately this change looks to hang into Saturday, strong from the S/SW, and even holding into Sunday and out of the W/SW-SW with easing swells.

Moving into next week and a top up in SW swell is due on Monday, produced by a late forming and strengthening polar front south-west of us on the weekend. Size wise this looks to offer similar 2ft to possibly 3ft sets across Clifton with morning offshore winds, but we'll review this Wednesday.