Southern Tasmania Surf Forecast by Craig Brokensha (issued Monday 30th September)

Best Days: Tuesday morning, Wednesday afternoon keen surfers, Thursday, Saturday morning

Recap

Clean fun waves on Saturday, bumpy and for keen surfers Sunday with less than ideal winds.

Today the largest of the swells has kicked in but conditions are poor with fresh W/SW tending SW and then S/SE winds.

This week and weekend (Oct 1 - 6)

Tomorrow will become much cleaner on the coast as today's swell eases, dropping back from 2ft to possibly 3ft with N/NE tending SE winds.

We've had an upgrade in the S/SW groundswell due mid-week, with a strong polar low now expected to form south-west of us this afternoon and evening. A fetch of gale-force W/SW winds will be projected east-northeast through our southern swell window, producing a good S/SW groundswell that should arrive late morning Wednesday and peak into the late afternoon to 3ft+.

Thursday then looks fun still as the swell eases back from 2-3ft.

Winds on Wednesday ahead of the swell will be offshore and out of the N/NW, swinging SW later morning and then SE as the swell builds.

Thursday looks better with N'ly tending fresh NE breeze.

Longer term, a late forming front under us Friday will produce strong W/SW winds, and a small pulse of SW swell for Saturday to 2ft or so with a morning NW offshore ahead of sea breezes.

Following this there looks to be plenty more polar frontal activity through our swell window into next week, keeping the South Arm active.