Small swell for the weekend, better W/SW swells next week

Craig Brokensha picture
Craig Brokensha (Craig)

Southern Tasmania Surf Forecast by Craig Brokensha (issued Friday 28th June)

Best Days: Sunday, Monday morning, Tuesday morning, Wednesday morning, Thursday morning

Recap

Tiny waves the last couple of days with the swell being too west in nature.

Today’s Forecaster Notes are brought to you by Rip Curl

This weekend and next week (Jun 29 – Jul 5)

Tomorrow is expected to remain tiny, but moving into Sunday a mix of new S/SW and W/SW swell are due to build.

After downgrading on Wednesday, we've now got an upgrade on the polar fetch generating Sunday's S/SW swell. A fetch of strong to gale-force S/SW winds will strengthen late in our southern swell window, south of us today, producing the swell which should pulse Sunday to 2ft+.

This isn't showing on the charts but I'm confident there'll be waves. The short-range W'ly swell looks to be minimal now with the tight low moving across us generating a short-lived burst of gale-force W tending W/NW winds.

Conditions on Sunday will be clean early with a N/NW offshore but a brief W'ly change is expected, tending W/NW into the afternoon again.

Monday will be clean but likely easing from 1-2ft with a persistent N/NW offshore.

We then look ahead to our W/SW swells Tuesday and Wednesday, with a vigorous polar frontal progression already forming around Heard Island.

We'll see this progression project north up towards the Bight, north of our swell window, but as it continues east early next week, it'll drop back south a little.

A great fetch of gale to severe-gale W/SW winds generated just in our western swell window Sunday afternoon and evening, with weaker follow up strong to gale-force W/SW winds through Monday.

A fun W/SW groundswell should build Tuesday, reaching 2ft to occasionally 3ft into the afternoon (smaller early) and then easing from a similar size Wednesday morning.

Conditions will be cleanest Tuesday morning as the swell builds with a W/NW breeze, shifting W/SW into the afternoon, while Wednesday looks to play out similar.

Longer term there's nothing too significant on the cards so make the most of the coming swells or check the East Coast forecast.