Large windy W/SW groundswell tomorrow, easing into the end of the week

Craig Brokensha picture
Craig Brokensha (Craig)

Southern Tasmania Surf Forecast by Craig Brokensha (issued Monday 19th March)

Best Days: Protected spots tomorrow, Wednesday morning, exposed breaks Thursday, Friday

Recap

Great conditions with clean easing surf from the 2ft range, tiny into yesterday.

This morning should of started tiny but we should be seeing some new swell building across the coast, owing to the first of a couple of vigorous frontal systems pushing through our western swell window.

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This weekend and next week (Mar 20 - 25)

Later today's increase in W'ly swell will be superseded by a larger and stronger W/SW groundswell tomorrow, produced by an elongated and expansive fetch of severe-gale W/SW winds stretching from our state to the polar shelf south-southwest of WA.

This fetch is working on top an already active sea state resulting in a large powerful W/SW groundswell for tomorrow, coming in at 4-6ft across Clifton, much much larger at more exposed breaks.

Winds are tricky with an early fresh to strong W'ly tending W/SW breeze tomorrow morning and then SW into the afternoon.

The swell will ease later in the day and more so Wednesday from a more SW direction with easing 3-4ft sets but winds look a little dicey. A lingering SE'ly may create average conditions but this will hopefully tend variable through the morning before increasing through the afternoon.

Thursday will be smaller again and around 2ft+ but with less favourable and gusty NE winds. Head to more exposed spots for the best conditions.

Into Friday a new SW groundswell is due, generated by an intense polar low that's currently east of Heard Island.

A fetch of severe-gale to storm-force W'ly winds will be generated in our medium-range swell window, with good but inconsistent surf to 2ft to occasionally 3ft into the afternoon.

A fresh N tending N/NE wind should keep conditions clean all day as the swell builds.

Into the weekend there's no new swell expected across the region, with clean easing surf Saturday, tiny Sunday.