Southern Tasmania Surf Forecast by Craig Brokensha (issued Wednesday 14th March)

Best Days: Thursday morning, Friday, Saturday morning, next week

Recap

Good clean conditions and fun amounts of swell to 2-3ft across Clifton the last two days, but we've got larger developments to come.

Today’s Forecaster Notes are brought to you by Rip Curl

This week and weekend (Mar 15 - 18)

Tomorrow morning we're set to see a temporary low point in swell ahead of some large new SW groundswell building into the afternoon ahead of a peak Friday morning.

Last night a vigorous polar low formed south-west of Tasmania, with a fetch of severe-gale W/SW winds already being generated in our swell window. There are a couple of 50kt barbs in the mix as well, and we'll see this low project similar strength severe-gale to storm-force winds north-east through our southern swell window today, producing a large long-period SW groundswell.

The swell should build through tomorrow afternoon and reach 4ft later in the day, peaking overnight and easing back quickly from 4-5ft Friday morning.

Winds tomorrow morning should be NW, swinging SW late morning with the front pushing through, while Friday morning will see variable tending light N/NW winds, tending gusty NE into the afternoon.

Saturday should offer all day offshores from the N/NW with easing levels of S/SW swell from 2ft+.

As touched on last update, a new strong node of the Long Wave Trough will move in from the west over the weekend, bringing with it some very strong and broad storm activity.

Initially it will be mainly west in nature, swinging more south-west as it eases through the middle to end of next week.

Size wise we're looking at surf to 4-6ft or so, but we'll have a closer look Friday.