Southern Tasmania Surf Forecast by Craig Brokensha (issued Monday 7th August)

Best Days: Thursday savvy surfers, Saturday, Sunday morning

Recap

Tiny clean waves on Saturday with offshore winds, easing back from a similar size Sunday but with average N/NE winds early, more offshore into the afternoon.

Today the swell increased a touch to 1-2ft but conditions were a little mixed with early offshores ahead of a change.

This week and weekend (Aug 8 - 13)

Disappointingly the associated fetch of S'ly winds linked to today's change, due to generate S'ly swell over the coming two days isn't on the cards any more.

A much weaker and short-lived burst of SE winds to our south today will only generate 1-1.5ft max swell tomorrow, tiny Wednesday.

A morning W/NW breeze should create clean conditions, tending more W/SW through the day.

For the rest of the week were looking at a flukey SE swell Thursday.

This will be generated by a broad low forming in the Tasman Sea, with a stationary fetch of strong E/SE winds produced on the edge of our swell window tomorrow afternoon through early Wednesday.

We could see small 1-2ft sets hitting Clifton through Thursday, fading through Friday. Winds look to be from the north most of Thursday, swinging round to the W/NW Friday.

Into the weekend, a broad and intense mid-latitude low is forecast to move in from the west, with is passing across us Friday night and Saturday.

A fetch of gale to severe-gale W'ly winds will be generated right under us, producing an acute W'ly swell.

I'm worried about how west the swell is looking, but we should still see an increase in surf to 3ft or so through the day along with strong W/NW winds.

The swell will then fade Sunday from what looks to be the 2ft range and favourable winds.

Longer term there's still nothing major on the cards as mid-latitude storms continue to sit too far north of us. More on this Wednesday.