Southern Tasmania Surf Forecast by Craig Brokensha (issued Monday 9th May)

Best Days: Wednesday afternoon, Thursday afternoon, Friday, Saturday morning

Recap

Fun clean 2ft waves on Saturday with offshores, easing back from a tiny 1-1.5ft yesterday. Today the swell was still small around 1-2ft with less than ideal winds.

This week and weekend (May 10 - 15)

Tomorrow will start tiny but later in the day a vigorous frontal system will combine with an intense mid-latitude low drifting south-east from South Australia, with a fetch of severe-gale W/SW winds being generated directly under us. This fetch will remain near stationary from tomorrow afternoon through early Wednesday morning, kicking up a late increase in mid-period W/SW swell tomorrow to 2-3ft peaking Wednesday to 3-5ft or so.

This will then be followed by a secondary strong and more favourably aligned frontal system racing in from the south-west through Wednesday afternoon and evening, producing a larger SW groundswell for Thursday.

Clifton should peak around 4-5ft+, easing back through the late afternoon, slowed through Friday by yet another cold front passing under us.

This should keep 3-4ft waves hitting Clifton before easing back into Saturday.

Now winds tomorrow afternoon will swing gale-force W'ly, with strong W/SW tending W/NW winds Wednesday, creating improving conditions into the afternoon.

Thursday looks to play out similarly to Wednesday with morning W/SW winds, swinging W/NW through the day, and then W/NW winds all day Friday, tending NW into Saturday.

The storm track will settle down a little into the weekend resulting in smaller W'ly swells in the 1-2ft range for Sunday/Monday, but into next week we may see a larger swell developing. More on this Wednesday.