Westerly swell with OK winds

Craig Brokensha picture
Craig Brokensha (Craig)

Southern Tasmania Surf Forecast by Craig Brokensha (issued Friday 31st July)

Best Days: Later Saturday, Sunday, Tuesday, Wednesday morning

Recap

Good easing SW groundswell from 2-3ft yesterday morning with offshores, while today a reinforcing W/SW swell has over-performed with 2-3ft surf again seen across Clifton with N/NW winds.

This weekend and next week (Aug 1 - 7)

Tomorrow morning will be a low point in swell activity as this morning's W/SW swell fades, and only a late afternoon kick in new W/SW groundswell is due.

We're probably looking at small 1-2ft waves most of the day, building to 2ft+ later in the day with fresh to strong but easing W/NW winds.

Sunday afternoon's pulse of better W/SW groundswell is still on track but the size has been downgraded a touch.

This is a result of the stronger front pushing in through our western swell window tomorrow and early Sunday being a touch weaker than forecast on Wednesday.

Still, we should see Clifton building to the 3ft range as winds hold from the NW to W/NW.

Of greater importance is a more elongated and better fetch of W/SW gales firing up through Sunday and pushing across us into Monday.

This should produce a larger W/SW groundswell peaking through Monday afternoon to 3-5ft across Clifton but winds will swing onshore from the W/SW to SW through the day.

Tuesday will be cleaner as the swell eases back from 3-4ft with NW tending W/NW winds.

This won't be the end of the run of swell due through the week, with a couple of better aligned polar fronts due to fire up through our south-western swell window early to mid-next week.

A strong SW groundswell pulse should be seen Wednesday coming in at 3-4ft through the afternoon with morning NW winds, ahead of a late morning S/SW change.

A drop in size is due from Thursday with smaller levels of S/SW swell softening the easing trend into the end of the week. Winds look to remain onshore though both Thursday and Friday but we'll review this Monday. Have a great weekend!

Comments

Craig's picture
Craig's picture
Craig Monday, 3 Aug 2015 at 11:21am

Amazing photos coming out of Hobart this morning.

First from our South Arm reporter Jono.

Pat Fasnacht

And Toby Dirk..