OK swell Monday with onshores, better Thursday

Craig Brokensha picture
Craig Brokensha (Craig)

Southern Tasmania Surf Forecast by Craig Brokensha (issued Friday 24th July)

Best Days: Protected spots Monday for desperate surfers, Tuesday morning, Wednesday afternoon, Thursday morning

Recap

A tiny spike in swell offered fun waves for beginners yesterday, while today the surf was even tinier and easing.

This weekend and next week (Jul 25 – 31)

Tomorrow should remain tiny to flat, and most of Sunday is also due to lack any surfable waves.

Later in the day though we may see some new W/SW groundswell filling in, from a vigorous front/low drifting in from the west, but this would only be minimal and to 1-2ft at best, with winds not falling in to our swell window until later in the day.

The low will also lose most of its steam out of our swell window unfortunately, with a weakening fetch of S/SW gales aimed into us Monday.

With this, only a moderate increase in size is due through Monday, probably reaching 3-4ft+ across Clifton through the day and then easing quickly into Tuesday from 2ft on the sets.

Winds Monday will be strong from the SW but easing, leaving protected locations with the only clean waves, but size will be limited.

Tuesday will be cleaner with W/NW winds persisting all day.

We've got some good W/SW groundswell due to build Wednesday followed by better SW groundswell Thursday, generated by a strong polar frontal progression moving in from east of Heard Island this weekend and towards us early next week.

An initial increase Wednesday afternoon to 2ft is due, with a better pulse Thursday to 3ft to possibly 4ft. Winds look good and offshore for the most part ahead of an onshore change Thursday afternoon.

Longer term there's plenty more swell due into next weekend and the following week, but we'll have a closer look at this Monday. Have a great weekend!