Southern Tasmania Surf Forecast by Craig Brokensha (issued Monday 13th July)

Best Days: Possibly early Tuesday, Thursday, possibly early Friday, Sunday

Recap

Generally small to tiny surf between 1-1.5ft with the odd 2ft bomb all weekend, with today offering similar 1-2ft waves but with onshore winds.

This week and weekend (Jul 14 – 19)

We've got plenty of swell on the cards for this week but with dicey and tricky winds.

Tomorrow a mix of good SW groundswell and now bigger S/SW swell are due across the South Arm. The groundswell was generated over the weekend by a strong polar frontal progression, but a front/trough shedding off this system is now projecting a fetch of strong S/SW winds up and towards us, with it sitting over us this evening.

A mix of swells to 3ft+ is now due tomorrow morning, but with fresh to strong SW tending S/SW winds. There's an outside chance for an early W'ly at dawn though.

The trough responsible for the S/SW swell will sit to our south-east during tomorrow, with a fetch of strong S/SE winds being aimed through our swell window before shifting away from it into Wednesday.

This should produce a small S/SE swell for Wednesday in the 2-3ft range but with fresh S/SE winds.

Thursday will be the best as the S/SE swell eases from 2ft+ or so with variable winds through the morning.

Into Friday and Saturday, an inconsistent long-range SW groundswell is due, generated by a broad, elongated and favourably aligned fetch of pre-frontal W/NW gales pushing along the polar shelf today and tomorrow, followed by secondary activity into the end of the week.

Various pulses of SW groundswell are due, the first Friday to an inconsistent 3ft, with a secondary similar pulse Saturday, with the afternoon possibly showing the odd bigger 3ft+ set, easing from the 3ft range Sunday.

Winds Friday will unfortunately go onshore from the S'th again, with Saturday morning possibly seeing an early W'ly. Sunday will be cleanest and best with a N/NW offshore tending variable breeze.

We'll confirm this Wednesday though.