Southern Tasmania Surf Forecast by Craig Brokensha (issued Monday 15th June)

Best Days: Saturday, Sunday

Recap

Fun waves Saturday morning with a clean easing swell from 2-3ft, with 1-2ft leftovers into Sunday with fresher N'ly winds.

Today a new S/SE groundswell has offered inconsistent 2ft+ waves across Clifton with light offshore winds that tended variable into the afternoon.

This week and weekend (Jun 16 – 21)

Tomorrow is expected to start out tiny with a fading S/SE groundswell, with a small new SW swell due into the afternoon but only to 1-2ft. Winds should be offshore through the morning, tending E/NE into the afternoon.

A secondary pulse is due through Wednesday to a similar size but some building S/SW windswell will overpower this into the afternoon, reaching 2ft+ across Clifton later in the day but with strengthening S'ly winds.

This will be related to a cold front pushing up from the south, but it will quickly push off to the east resulting in a drop in swell from 2ft or so Thursday but with poor and easing S/SE winds.

Friday will be cleaner but tiny and worth giving a miss.

Of much greater importance is a large and strong SW groundswell due Saturday across the region, talked about last week.

A vigorous polar low is forecast to develop south-west of Western Australia this evening, generating a fetch of severe-gale to storm-force W/SW winds, before pushing east while continuing to generate a fetch of gale to severe-gale W/SW winds through our ideal swell window the rest of the week.

A large and powerful long-period SW groundswell is expected off this system, possibly showing late Friday but peaking Saturday morning to a solid and strong 4-6ft across Clifton.

Winds are looking great for this swell as well, you'll just have to find somewhere handling it with a NW tending W/NW breeze.

A drop in size is due into the afternoon and then down further Sunday from the 3ft range under N/NW tending variable winds.

A smaller reinforcing SW groundswell is then on the cards for Monday and then beyond this there's a few funky sources of swell on the cards for the rest of the week, which we'll look at in more detail on Wednesday.