Tricky south swells ahead, more interesting late week

Craig Brokensha picture
Craig Brokensha (Craig)

South-east Queensland and Northern NSW Surf Forecast by Craig Brokensha (issued Friday 26th April)

Best Days: Sunday, Monday, Tuesday and Wednesday mornings south magnets

Recap

Good to great waves on the exposed beaches with favourable winds each morning and a slow easing in swell. Still 3ft+ across magnets this morning but mostly 2-3ft.

Today’s Forecaster Notes are brought to you by Rip Curl

This weekend and next week (Apr 27 – May 3)

These notes will be brief-ish as Ben’s away on holidays.

The easterly trade-swell will continue to ease into the weekend across the Gold Coast, dropping to a small 2ft on the sets though persisting through until mid-next week while becoming less consistent.

On the Mid North Coast and North Coast we'll see a vigorous cold front pushing up the southern NSW coast bringing a building and weak S'ly windswell tomorrow. Late in the day on the MNC we'll likely see some stronger period S'ly swell from a fetch of W/SW gales exiting eastern Bass Strait.

Size wise south facing beaches may see junky 3ft sets tomorrow afternoon but with moderate to fresh S/SW tending S/SE winds (possibly more SW at dawn in some locations).

The mid-period swell should offer better waves across south magnets on Sunday with 3-5ft sets likely, easing temporarily through the day ahead of a new S'ly groundswell later in the day but more so Monday from stronger SW gales south of Tassie. It should be noted all other locations will be much smaller in size and we may see some regions missing out on these tricky directional swells.

Winds will great for these south magnets Sunday morning and offshore from the W/NW, fresh out of the NE into the afternoon, though a late S'ly change is likely on the Mid North Coast.

Come Monday, sets should be hanging in at 3-4ft across south facing beaches, though another strong front pushing up through the Tasman Sea Sunday should provide a touch more size later in the day and early Tuesday to possibly 3-5ft.

Winds on Monday morning should be favourable W/SW, freshening from the S/SE through the day, with Tuesday clean again with a W/SW offshore ahead of E/NE sea breezes.

The Gold Coast will fail to see much size at all from these southerly pulses with it hanging in at 1-2ft, a bit better across the regional south magnets.

The S'ly swell will fade on the North Coast Wednesday with light morning offshore winds.

As this swell fades new levels of E'ly trade-swell should start to build across the region as a strong high moves into the Tasman Sea and then across New Zealand mid-week.

We'll see a broad and strong fetch of E/SE trades stretching out from Queensland to the back of New Zealand, with a possible low deepening east of the North Island later next week.

This is a long way down the track but in any case we'll see the surf increase from the east later week, reaching 3-4ft or so next Friday/Saturday. Also to our south we may see a broad and significant Tasman Low developing, generating large windy S'ly swell but we'll have to review all of this on Monday. Have a great weekend!

Comments

Riles1088's picture
Riles1088's picture
Riles1088 Saturday, 27 Apr 2019 at 7:45pm

Finally we get a decent Sth swell. Sand on the points desperatley needs it. I can hardly think of any S/SE swells with reasonable winds in the past 8 months. Could feel the freshness in the air of a light crisp SW wind. Is this the end of the relentless easterly winds?? Surely.

Solitude's picture
Solitude's picture
Solitude Sunday, 28 Apr 2019 at 9:23am

Such a strange mix of swell today. I was expecting to see more dominant south swell but it was weird weak left over east and ? a tiny bit of south sneaking through but hard to be sure. Did Leba get the south?

freeride76's picture
freeride76's picture
freeride76 Sunday, 28 Apr 2019 at 10:10am

Yep

Solitude's picture
Solitude's picture
Solitude Sunday, 28 Apr 2019 at 11:56am

Hopefully some of you got a few good ones, conditions were perfect

freeride76's picture
freeride76's picture
freeride76 Sunday, 28 Apr 2019 at 12:41pm

yep, easily the best day of the autumn so far here.

Out of wind, swell, tide and banks this is the first day we've had at least two or three out of the four operating correctly.

It almost felt weird having a swell not torn apart by a howling onshore.

AndyM's picture
AndyM's picture
AndyM Sunday, 28 Apr 2019 at 12:41pm

Magic morning, perfect conditions and clear, warm water.
Some overhead sets and the crowd where I was was bloody reasonable.

crg's picture
crg's picture
crg Sunday, 28 Apr 2019 at 1:38pm

Autumn we love you...

Craig's picture
Craig's picture
Craig Sunday, 28 Apr 2019 at 2:35pm

Great to hear crew. Kicked solid yesterday morning in southern NSW but today in between and a slow 2ft+. These sources are sometimes real tricky. 

freeride76's picture
freeride76's picture
freeride76 Monday, 29 Apr 2019 at 7:17am

Back to onshores with nor-easters to start the month of May. mon dieu.

redmondo's picture
redmondo's picture
redmondo Monday, 29 Apr 2019 at 9:09am

Nice shapely walls this morning felt like abandoning my commitments and staying out there.

adsi's picture
adsi's picture
adsi Monday, 29 Apr 2019 at 10:51am

Looking like onshores again till friday at least. Shame as there was still plenty of swell this morning.