Into the weekend and we will see conditions improve as a high moves to the north of the island and fronts to the south bring about westerly ridging.
Easing swells are expected into Thursday, and early light W/NW breezes will precede freshening W’ly tending W/SW winds as a front sweeps across Bass Strait, clipping the coast.
The gist of it is a trough line in the Coral Sea, which may deepen into a low pressure system and drift towards the North Island (GFS scenario) or move towards the QLD coast as a coastal trough and intensify a NE infeed into the SEQLD, then NSW Coast possibly as early as Tues.
Plenty of action in the tropics and subtropics next week but we’ll see a quiet opening to the week for temperate NSW, with some model divergence for later next week.
Today’s SW swell will ease slowly through Tuesday, but a second S/SW groundswell will build through the day - initially small in size, and likely to reach a late afternoon peak.
Mid to late afternoon, the leading edge of a new long period E’ly swell will make landfall, though we’re not expecting wave heights to peak until...
Late afternoon, the leading edge of a new long period S’ly swell will make landfall, though we’re not expecting wave heights to peak until...
An impressive series of stronger, better-aligned followup fronts behind this - from Friday thru’ Monday below the continent - will then generate much better surf for the region.
No major changes to Craig’s notes from Friday - we’ve got a strong SW groundswell inbound tomorrow.
More S groundswell expected next week, with a renewal in S swell Tues from a deep low passing under Tas later Sun into Mon.
