Small pulses of southerly groundswell

Craig Brokensha picture
Craig Brokensha (Craig)

Eastern Tasmania Surf Forecast by Craig Brokensha (issued Monday October 9th)

Best Days: South magnets Wednesday morning and Thursday morning, south magnets Friday morning

Features of the Forecast (tl;dr)

  • Easing S swell tomorrow with SW tending fresh S/SE winds
  • New S'ly groundswell Wed with W/NW tending E/NE winds
  • Easing S groundswell Thu with strengthening N-N/NW winds
  • New small S'ly groundswell pulse Fri with W/NW tending SE winds
  • Easing surf Sat with W/NW winds

Recap

There was still the odd little NE set in the water early Saturday while the south magnets also picked up fun waves, bottoming out temporarily Sunday morning ahead of a new S'ly groundswell pulse into the afternoon.

This groundswell is now easing across the region and north winds are favouring northern corners.

This week and weekend (Oct 10 - 15)

The coming week will consistent of small S'ly groundswell pulses coming off frontal activity firing up south and south-east of the state.

This morning's S'ly groundswell is due to bottom out into tomorrow (2ft+ south magnets), but a strengthening polar front projecting up towards New Zealand today should produce a fresh pulse of S'ly groundswell for late tomorrow but more so Wednesday morning.

Good 2-3ft sets are due across the south magnets most of the day before easing Thursday.

Winds tomorrow are dicey as a trough brings SW tending S/SE winds, poor for the south magnets while Wednesday looks better with W/NW offshores ahead of E/NE sea breezes.

Thursday will see strengthening N-N/NW winds as the S'ly groundswell fades, while a brief pulse of N/NE windswell might pulse to 1-1.5ft through the day but otherwise be unsurfable.

Another late forming frontal system, south-east of us on Wednesday should produce another 2ft pulse of S'ly swell Friday under W/NW winds before a front pushing north swings winds to the SE.

This front may bring some better S'ly swell for the weekend and early next week but the models diverge a little on the timing and alignment for our region. It looks that any swell will be later in the weekend and for early next week but check back Wednesday for the latest on this.