Slow forecast period

Craig Brokensha picture
Craig Brokensha (Craig)

Eastern Tasmania Surf Forecast by Craig Brokensha (issued Monday 21st June)

Best Days: Tomorrow morning, south magnets Saturday afternoon and Sunday

Features of the Forecast (tl;dr)

  • Easing E swell tomorrow with W/NW tending N winds, tiny Wed
  • Small, weak N/NE windswell for Wed PM and Thu with N/NW-N winds
  • Inconsistent S groundswell for Sat PM and Sun AM with W/NW winds
  • Possible stronger S swell Mon

Recap

A good run of surf since the weekend with a large pulse of E'ly swell, best in protected spots Saturday, with more options yesterday and fun, peaks right across the coast today.

This weekend and next week (Jun 22 - 27)

We'll see the surf continuing to tail away in size tomorrow, but the beaches should still be fun, as one final pulse of E/SE swell from last week's Tasman Low fills in.

This was produced by E/SE-SE winds off New Zealand's West Coast and should keep 2-3ft sets hitting most spots tomorrow morning, easing through the day.

A W/NW breeze will give into afternoon N/NE winds, so get out in the morning.

A brief burst of N/NE winds Wednesday doesn't look to bring much in the way of swell with a 1-2ft wave possibly showing on the north-east magnets into the afternoon but with N'ly winds, similar Thursday.

We then look to our south for small hints of S'ly groundswell, wrapping up from polar fetches.

There's nothing too major on the cards, though a strong polar low generating W/SW severe-gales south-west of the state Thursday evening looks to generate a fun 2-3ft swell for Saturday afternoon, easing Sunday.

Conditions look clean with W/NW breezes and behind this we may see a stronger low generating a better pulse for Monday though the models still diverge on this slightly. Winds may go onshore as well as a trough pushes north up past us, but we'll have a closer look at this Wednesday.

Longer term there are hints that we may see a good E/NE swell late next week from a low forming above New Zealand but we'll continue to monitor this.