Building N/NE windswell event for the weekend
Eastern Tasmania Surf Forecast by Craig Brokensha (issued Friday 1st March)
Best Days: Sunday, Tuesday morning, Wednesday
Recap
Nothing of note yesterday and a small building windswell from the N/NE today with average winds.
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This weekend and next week (Mar 2 - 8)
Small and weak levels of N/NE windswell are on the build across the coast this afternoon and we'll see it strengthen and increase in size gradually through the weekend as a strong high in the Tasman Sea is squeezed from the west by a couple of approaching troughs.
Tomorrow will start small and only likely be 2ft to possibly 3ft across north-east swell magnets, but a strengthening and broadening N/NE fetch off the coast should kick sets more towards 3ft+ by dark. Winds look to be out of the N-N/NW tomorrow morning, gusty out of the N/NE into the afternoon.
Sunday will see the most size with good 3ft+ sets across north-east magnets and with N-N/NW winds, swinging more NW later in the day ahead of an evening S'ly change.
The change will kill off the swell and easing 2ft to possibly 3ft sets are due early Monday, smaller into the afternoon. Winds unfortunately look onshore and out of the E/SE in the wake of Sunday's change, swinging more NE into the afternoon and freshening.
Our small and inconsistent pulse of E/NE groundswell from Tropical Cyclone Pola is still on track, with Pola currently south of Fiji and generating a broad fetch of strong E/SE winds just on the edge of our swell window, with core wind speeds up to severe-gale to storm-force.
The swell is due late in the day Monday now and is expected to peak Tuesday morning to a very inconsistent 2-3ft, easing off into the afternoon and further Wednesday.
Conditions will be great early Tuesday with a W/SW offshore, giving into a shallow S'ly change and swinging NE into the afternoon.
As the E/NE groundswell fades Wednesday, some fun new NE trade-swell should take its place, generated by a broad and good fetch of E/NE trades north of New Zealand Sunday and Monday morning.
This will hopefully keep 2-3ft sets hitting open beaches with all day offshore winds, clean again Thursday but easing. More on this Monday though, have a great weekend!