Fun waves to finish off the week, distant groundswell a chance next week
Eastern Tasmania Surf Forecast by Craig Brokensha (issued Wednesday 6th February)
Best Days: Northern corners Thursday, Friday morning
Recap
Average surf yesterday but today a new E/NE swell is on the build, and while onshore it's still looking fun on the open beaches.
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This week and weekend (Feb 7 - 10)
Our current increase in E/NE swell is due to a good fetch of relatively weak E'ly winds setting up through the Tasman Sea to our east-northeast.
This fetch will start to swing more towards us during this afternoon and evening as a trough across South Australia edges in from the west, with winds swinging NE-N/NE into tomorrow before moving away from us Friday.
What this will result in is a peak in E/NE swell through tomorrow to 3-4ft across open beaches but with fresh NE winds, tending more N'ly early afternoon and then N/NW late in the day.
Friday is still looking clean with a NW offshore, possibly tending variable ahead of a late S'ly change. The swell will be easing out of the E/NE and NE from 2-3ft, tiny into the weekend.
Into early next week there's nothing too significant on the cards, but a very distant though significant tropical development south of Fiji will see a fetch of E/NE gales generated in our swell window.
A very inconsistent long-range E/NE groundswell should be generated, arriving Tuesday and building to 2ft, with a possible peak to 2-3ft on Wednesday. We'll have a closer look at this on Friday when we should be more certain on the fetch aimed through our swell window.