Small to tiny swells ahead of a large S'ly groundswell early next week
Eastern Tasmania Surf Forecast by Craig Brokensha (issued Wednesday 24th August)
Best Days: Later Monday, Tuesday and Wednesday
Recap
A slow start to the surf yesterday but an increase in S/SE swell was seen through the day to 2-3ft across south swell magnets. This morning the swell was hanging in but on the ease.
This week and weekend (Aug 25 - 28)
Tiny surf is due into tomorrow, but a final pulse of S/SE swell is expected Friday from a small tight fetch of strong S/SE winds projecting up towards us today and tomorrow morning.
This should come in around 2ft across south swell magnets with W/SW tending W/NW winds, fading through the day.
Tiny surf is then due Saturday, with only a slight possible increase in small refracted S'ly groundswell Sunday, but not above 2ft at magnets.
Of greater importance is a large pulse of S'ly groundswell expected later Monday and Tuesday.
This swell, touched on last update, will be generated by a strengthening polar front firing up through our southern swell window projecting a fetch of severe-gale to storm-force SW winds north-east towards the Tasman Sea and then up past New Zealand.
This will generate a large long-period S'ly groundswell that should kick Monday afternoon, reaching an easy 4-5ft across south facing beaches, holding most of Tuesday to 4-5ft+ before easing late in the day.
Conditions are looking good Tuesday with NW tending NE winds, then N/NW winds as the swell eases Wednesday, more on this Friday.
Comments
6 forecasts/ week for Tassie now?
Been like that for a couple of years Mitch.
I swear I used to check in here on a Thursday if the synoptics were particularly tricky. Anyway, nice to see the Tassie locs are treated equally!
btw have you or ben or anyone got your head around this??? so far as I can tell, the forecast is a bit early...
http://www.nswaves.com.au/