Small to tiny swells ahead of a large S'ly groundswell early next week

Craig Brokensha picture
Craig Brokensha (Craig)

Eastern Tasmania Surf Forecast by Craig Brokensha (issued Wednesday 24th August)

Best Days: Later Monday, Tuesday and Wednesday

Recap

A slow start to the surf yesterday but an increase in S/SE swell was seen through the day to 2-3ft across south swell magnets. This morning the swell was hanging in but on the ease.

This week and weekend (Aug 25 - 28)

Tiny surf is due into tomorrow, but a final pulse of S/SE swell is expected Friday from a small tight fetch of strong S/SE winds projecting up towards us today and tomorrow morning.

This should come in around 2ft across south swell magnets with W/SW tending W/NW winds, fading through the day.

Tiny surf is then due Saturday, with only a slight possible increase in small refracted S'ly groundswell Sunday, but not above 2ft at magnets.

Of greater importance is a large pulse of S'ly groundswell expected later Monday and Tuesday.

This swell, touched on last update, will be generated by a strengthening polar front firing up through our southern swell window projecting a fetch of severe-gale to storm-force SW winds north-east towards the Tasman Sea and then up past New Zealand.

This will generate a large long-period S'ly groundswell that should kick Monday afternoon, reaching an easy 4-5ft across south facing beaches, holding most of Tuesday to 4-5ft+ before easing late in the day.

Conditions are looking good Tuesday with NW tending NE winds, then N/NW winds as the swell eases Wednesday, more on this Friday.

Comments

mitchvg's picture
mitchvg's picture
mitchvg Wednesday, 24 Aug 2016 at 4:31pm

6 forecasts/ week for Tassie now?

Craig's picture
Craig's picture
Craig Wednesday, 24 Aug 2016 at 6:09pm

Been like that for a couple of years Mitch.

mitchvg's picture
mitchvg's picture
mitchvg Wednesday, 24 Aug 2016 at 7:26pm

I swear I used to check in here on a Thursday if the synoptics were particularly tricky. Anyway, nice to see the Tassie locs are treated equally!

mitchvg's picture
mitchvg's picture
mitchvg Wednesday, 24 Aug 2016 at 10:00pm

btw have you or ben or anyone got your head around this??? so far as I can tell, the forecast is a bit early...

http://www.nswaves.com.au/