Steady diet of southerly swell
Eastern Tasmania Surf Forecast by Craig Brokensha (issued Friday 8th April)
Best Days: South swell magnets Saturday and Sunday morning, Monday afternoon, Tuesday morning, Thursday morning
Recap
A small clean mix of S'ly and NE swells yesterday with offshores, while today is totally flat.
This weekend and next week (Apr 2 - 9)
What we'll be relying on over the weekend is heavily refracted S'ly groundswell energy, from a flurry of zonal (west-east) frontal activity to the south-west and south of the state.
The best pulse of swell is due tomorrow afternoon, arriving around midday and hopefully coming in at a good 2-3ft across south swell magnets (tiny elsewhere), under favourable and freshening W/NW winds.
The swell will fade overnight leaving easing 2ft sets through the morning under stronger W'ly winds.
A much more significant groundswell event is due into early next week as a secondary flurry of vigorous Southern Ocean storm activity moves across us, but then takes a much more favourable track north-east up past our coast.
A strong polar front will be steered this way by the Long Wave Trough, with a fetch of severe-gale SW winds projected through our southern swell window Sunday and early Monday.
A large S'ly groundswell is expected to build across the East Coast during the day, peaking into the afternoon to 4-6ft across south facing beaches, 3ft at more open spots.
Conditions are actually due to improve through the day with a gusty W/SW breeze forecast to tend lighter W'ly through the afternoon and evening.
Tuesday looks excellent as the swell eases back from 3-5ft at south swell magnets under W/NW veering S'ly winds, so get in through the morning!
A further easing in surf is due Wednesday morning but with SW tending SE winds.
Into later Wednesday and Thursday morning, one final pulse of S'ly groundswell is due across the coast, produced by a re-strengthening polar low from below us, up towards Tasmania. Another good 3-5ft of S'ly groundswell is likely Thursday morning across south swell magnets, with NW to NE winds, favouring those locations.
More on this Monday. Have a great weekend!