Tomorrow will be great across open beaches ahead of a windy south swell Wednesday, best as it eases.
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As it does it aims up the fetch of E/NE winds into the NETas swell window and we’ll see increasing swells from the NE direction o/night and into Sat.
We'll see building levels of NE tending E/NE swell this period follow by a windy, cold S'ly swell.
These small lows may move north, then east and finally south or may coalesce in a more classic Tasman Low or ECL variant. Either way we should see some quality E/NE swell for Tas as the fetch draws out through the Tasman.
By mid week the trough of low pressure in the Tasman is expected to be moving southwards towards the NSW south coast.
Next week still looks dynamic with potential for a deep trough or low in the Tasman, although we are going to have to play it day by day due to poor model to model and run to run consistency.
A broad trade fetch on steroids is now slowly breaking down through the Coral, Tasman and South Pacific with a tropical low whizzing away to the SE.
In between, a trough and cold front are currently approaching Tasmania, expected to bring a vigorous W/SW-SW flow o/night into tomorrow, bringing a spike in short range S swell short term.
We’ll see the current dominant high (1034hPa) straddling New Zealand which is directing a broad trade fetch through the South Pacific and into the Coral Sea slowly migrate eastwards this week with an E’ly dip forming a trough of low pressure due E of SEQLD mid week.
We should see some better quality E/NE swell from a southwards moving low pressure trough which moves from the South Pacific into the Northern Tasman next week.