Improving conditions tomorrow morning, cleanest Sunday
Victoria Forecast by Craig Brokensha (issued Friday 26th January)
Best Days: Exposed beaches mid-late morning tomorrow, exposed beaches Sunday morning
Recap
Plenty of swell continuing across both regions the last two days, coming in at a bumpy and average 3-4ft on the Surf Coast yesterday with a SE breeze and 6ft on the Mornington Peninsula.
Today the swell was still around 3ft on the Surf Coast and 4-5ft on the Mornington Peninsula with persistent onshore winds.
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This weekend and next week (Jan 27– Feb 2)
Looking at the weekend ahead, and the surf will continue to ease, but winds for tomorrow morning are now looking dicey early.
We're likely to see unfavourable light to moderate E/SE breezes at dawn, tending more variable from the E/NE through the morning with bumpy but improving conditions and easing surf from 2ft+ on the Surf Coast the 4ft range on the Mornington Peninsula.
Sunday is still the pick for the cleanest conditions with a N/NE offshore persisting all day though with tiny easing 1-1.5ft waves on the Surf Coast, 2-3ft on the Mornington Peninsula early.
Moving into next week, and the outlook isn't great. We'll see a surface trough drifting in from the west later Sunday stalling off the East Coast of Tassie as a strong high slowly moves into the Bight.
This will direct persistent onshore southerly winds across the Victorian coast from Monday through all of next week, if not into the following weekend.
This will spoil a couple of mid-period swells, but nothing of any major significance.
A new W/SW swell should start building Monday afternoon but peak Tuesday, generated by a slow moving mid-latitude frontal system pushing up and under WA today and tomorrow.
The Surf Coast is only expected to get to 2ft+ (2-3ft 13th Beach) with 4ft+ surf on the Mornington Peninsula.
This swell should ease into Wednesday with a small S/SW swell on the cards for late week, but again with those onshore winds. We'll have another look Friday, have a great weekend!