Southern Tasmanian Surf Forecast by Craig Brokensha (issued Monday April 1st)

Best Days: Thursday, Friday ahead of sea breezes, Saturday

Features of the Forecast (tl;dr)

• Temp drop in swell tomorrow AM, building again into the PM, easing Fri
• N/NW tending variable winds Thu, N/NW Fri AM ahead of weak sea breezes
• Moderate sized SW groundswell building Sat with N tending gusty NE winds
• Easing swell Sun with S/SW winds

Recap

Tiny surf through yesterday while our first pulse of mid-period swell has filled in today with 2-3ft sets due under winds that are a bit more favourable than expected.

This week and weekend (Apr 4 - 7)

Today's pulse of swell is due to ease temporarily into tomorrow morning though not below 2ft, with some new mid-period W/SW swell due to arrive into the afternoon. This was generated by pre-frontal W/NW winds, coming in just below gale-force and should boost Clifton back to 3ft+, easing back Friday from 2-3ft.

Winds look favourable and N/NW tomorrow ahead of weak, likely variable sea breezes, similar Friday with sea breezes coming in a touch fresher.

Moving into the weekend, and our stronger SW groundswell for Saturday is on track, though GFS has the swell generating low being stronger than EC.

Regardless we're looking at a healthy fetch of severe-gale W/NW winds and strong sets building to 3-4ft across Clifton through the day under N tending fresh NE winds.

The swell will ease quickly into Sunday, back from 2-3ft but with a possible shift to S/SW winds as a low drifting down the East Coast pushes further south down our region.

Early next week will start slow, but from Tuesday through next weekend, we're looking at a good run of moderate to large sized swell as a strong node of the Long Wave Trough forms just east of us.

This will steer and strengthen polar fronts up past us during next week with lots of swell with a bit of wind due. More on this Friday.