Southern Tasmanian Surf Forecast by Craig Brokensha (issued Wednesday March 15th)

Best Days: Tomorrow morning, Friday, Saturday morning, hopefully Monday morning, Tuesday

Features of the Forecast (tl;dr)

• Building W/SW groundswell this afternoon, holding tomorrow morning with N/NW winds ahead of a late AM SW change
• Smaller W/SW swell energy for later tomorrow, Fri and Sat with W/NW winds Fri and N/NW tending S/SE winds Sat
• Building mid-period W/SW swell Sun with S/SW tending fresher W/SW winds, peaking Mon with NW tending SE winds
• Easing surf Tue with N/NW tending variable winds

Recap

Smaller surf but clean conditions with 1-2ft sets left yesterday, tinier today ahead of a new W/SW groundswell building this afternoon. The sets are now straight and to 2ft, with larger 3ft sets due on dark but with this weak sea breeze.

Easy 2ft sets are now breaking across Clifton

This week and weekend (Mar 16 – 19)

The current increase in W/SW groundswell should hold tomorrow morning with increasing 2ft to occasionally 3ft waves across Clifton under a N/NW winds ahead of a late morning SW change.

A strengthening frontal system moving in from the west linked to tomorrow's change will generate some reinforcing W/SW swell for later in the day and Friday, maintaining 2ft sets. Conditions should be nice and clean with a persistent W/NW'ly due all day across Clifton.

The surf isn't likely to drop below 2ft on Saturday thanks to a stream of strong W/SW winds south-west of the state through tomorrow and Friday, while we've got a good pulse of mid-period W/SW energy due Sunday through Tuesday.

This will be thanks to a flurry of frontal activity developing around the Heard Island region, pushing east and under the country through the Friday, the weekend and early next week.

The initial activity over the coming days will be elongated and not overly significant, with fetches generally below gale-force apart for the core of the system.

This will generate building surf later Sunday to 2ft, peaking Monday to 2ft to possibly 3ft.

Coming back to the local winds and Saturday morning should be clean with a N/NW offshore ahead of sea breezes, while a trough may bring S/SW winds Sunday that look to freshen out of the W/SW through the day.

Monday is still a little unsure but we'll hopefully see a NW offshore. More on this Friday.

Follow up levels of W/SW swell are due through the end of the week but we'll look at this again on Friday.