Southern Tasmanian Surf Forecast by Craig Brokensha (issued Friday January 20th)

Best Days: Tomorrow morning, Sunday morning, Monday morning for beginners, Wednesday morning for the keen

Features of the Forecast (tl;dr)

• Moderate sized SW groundswell Sat AM with N/NW winds ahead of late AM sea breezes
• Easing surf Sun with light SE winds, likely variable in the AM, freshening through the day
• Tiny Mon with N/NE tending freshening E/NE winds
• Inconsistent W/SW groundswell building Wed with N tending NE winds

Recap

Winds were more variable than expected yesterday morning with a new S'ly swell to 2ft+ and decent conditions before winds finally came back up.

Today is nice and clean with sets hanging in to 2ft under morning offshore winds. Sea breezes are now adding bumps to the surf.

This weekend and next week (Jan 21 - 27)

We've got a strong new SW groundswell due tomorrow, generated by a healthy polar low that fired up to the south-west of us mid-week. A fetch of W/SW gales should generate good 3ft sets tomorrow morning, easing into the afternoon and then back from a smaller 2ft on Sunday.

Winds tomorrow morning look great and N/NW before S/SE sea breezes kick in late morning.

Sunday is still a little dicey but light SE winds will likely go variable with land breezes as the swell eases, freshening into the afternoon.

Monday looks great for beginners with tiny, easing surf and N/NE offshore winds, tending NE into the afternoon.

Looking longer term, and an inconsistent W/SW groundswell is due on Wednesday next week, though generated in our far swell window by a strong polar low. This low is weakening around the Heard Island region and we're only due to see very slow 1-2ft sets building Wednesday under N tending NE winds.

A trough looks to spoil some reinforcing swell for later week but we'll review this Monday. Have a great weekend!