Southern Tasmanian Surf Forecast by Craig Brokensha (issued Monday January 16th)

Best Days: Tomorrow morning, Friday morning beginners, Saturday morning, Sunday morning

Features of the Forecast (tl;dr)

• Easing swell tomorrow with strengthening N/NE tending E/NE winds
• Tiny Wed with variable tending strengthening W/SW-SW winds
• S/SW swell Thu with strong S/SW winds
• Easing surf Fri with W/NW tending SE winds
• Fun new SW groundswell Sat AM with variable tending SE winds
• Easing surf Sun with variable tending SE winds

Recap

Tiny surf all weekend ahead of a change yesterday and new pulse of mid-period swell today that kicked to 2-3ft. Winds were favourable this morning but the swell straight and it should be on the ease now with gusty sea breezes.

Straight and a good size this AM

This week and weekend (Jan 17 - 22)

The current swell is due to drop back steadily into tomorrow with smaller 1-2ft sets due across Clifton as wind strengthen out of the N/NE tending E/NE. Get in early for the cleanest waves across Clifton.

A trough is due to bring a strengthening W/SW tending SW change on Wednesday afternoon and with this, a fetch of strong S/SW winds up and into us. This should generate a low quality S/SW swell for Thursday to 2ft+ but with strong S/SW winds as a high slowly ridges in from the west.

Cleaner conditions are due into Friday morning with a light W/NW breeze but tiny easing surf.

A fun new SW groundswell is due on Saturday and we should see favourable conditions with a variable breeze.

The source of the swell will be a short-lived polar low, generating a fetch of strong to gale-force W/SW winds and this should produce 2ft to nearly 3ft sets Saturday morning, easing into the afternoon and Sunday.

Longer term there's nothing significant on the cards at this stage but check back here on Wednesday.