Slow west swells next week

Craig Brokensha picture
Craig Brokensha (Craig)

Southern Tasmanian Surf Forecast by Craig Brokensha (issued Friday September 16th)

Best Days: Tuesday morning, Wednesday morning, Thursday morning, Friday morning

Features of the Forecast (tl;dr)

  • Inconsistent W/SW groundswell building Mon PM with S winds, holding Tue with N/NW tending gusty E/NE winds
  • Small, inconsistent W/SW swell Wed with N tending SE winds
  • Slightly bigger, inconsistent W/SW swell Thu and Fri with morning offshore winds and afternoon sea breezes
  • Best pulse of inconsistent W/SW groundswell Sat with possible lingering S/SW winds

Recap

Tiny waves with nowhere to surf.

This weekend and next week (Sep 17 - 23)

As touched on during the week, there's nothing significant on the cards until later next week, asides from a small, inconsistent W/SW groundswell Monday afternoon and Tuesday morning.

The weekend will be flat but the North-east looks to offer some good opportunities for a wave.

Into Monday, we'll start tiny but a strong through poorly structured polar low in our far swell window yesterday has generated an inconsistent W/SW groundswell for the afternoon and Tuesday.

Sets to a slow 1-2ft are due but with S'ly breezes Monday afternoon following a trough, better Tuesday with a N/NW offshore ahead of strong E/NE breezes.

The swell should hold a similar 1-2ft on Wednesday owing to background polar frontal activity ahead of a stronger but still distant progression of storms Sunday through Tuesday next week to the south-west of Western Australia.

This will be in our far westerly swell window, with the swell due to be inconsistent but fun when it arrives, likely strongest next Saturday.

Initial pulses of energy on Thursday and Friday look to be in the 2ft range, with Saturday coming in at 2-3ft.

Locally winds look favourable each morning and offshore ahead of sea breezes, while a trough Friday afternoon may leave lingering S/SW winds next Saturday. We'll keep an eye on this. Have a great weekend!