Southern Tasmanian Surf Forecast by Craig Brokensha (issued Monday March 7th)

Best Days: Wednesday morning keen surfers, Friday morning, Saturday, Sunday

Features of the Forecast (tl;dr)

• Strong S/SW winds tomorrow, easing and tending S/SE
• New W/SW swell Wed with light E/SE-SE winds, increasing through the day
• Smaller Thu with fresh S/SW winds
• Reinforcing W/SW swell Fri with W/NW tending S/SE winds
• Strong SW groundswell building Sat PM with N/NW tending S/SE winds, easing Sun with similar winds

Recap

Tiny surf Saturday with an early offshore ahead of a change, then strong onshore winds and some new swell yesterday.

Today is the pick with clean conditions and 2-3ft of SW swell with generally favourable winds all day.

This week and weekend (Mar 8 - 13)

Tomorrow will be a lay day as a trough brings another strong S/SW change before dawn, with winds due to abate through the day and tend S/SE along with a temporary drop in size from today.

Come Wednesday we've got out moderate sized W/SW swell due across the state, with it likely showing later tomorrow. This has been generated by a healthy polar front moving in from the west, bringing strong to near gale-force W/SW winds.

A fun 2-3ft of swell is due on Wednesday morning, while a trailing fetch of strong W/NW winds should generate some reinforcing mid-period SW swell for Friday to 2ft.

Unfortunately winds on Wednesday now look suss and will be light from the E/SE-SE, while a low forming off the southern NSW coast will drop slightly south on Thursday bringing S/SW winds, fresh in nature.

This will spoil both days but Wednesday looks to be surfable for the keen, Thursday less so.

Into Friday winds should shift back to the W/NW, with the reinforcing pulse of swell and afternoon S/SE sea breezes.

Come Saturday we've got a great pulse of new SW groundswell, generated by a strong polar low forming south-west of us on Thursday. A tight fetch of gale to severe-gale W/SW winds are expected, kicking up a moderate sized SW groundswell for Saturday, building to 3ft+ later in the day with morning N/NW winds and S/SE sea breezes. Sunday will be nice and clean through the morning with a light offshore and easing 2-3ft sets.

Longer term the outlook is still active with small pulses of swell on the cards into next week. More on this Wednesday.