Southern Tasmanian Surf Forecast by Craig Brokensha (issued Wednesday December 29th)

Best Days: Thursday morning, Friday and Saturday mornings for beginners

Features of the Forecast (tl;dr)

• Mid-period SW swell easing tomorrow with N/NW winds ahead of freshening afternoon sea breezes
• Tiny mix of swells Fri and Sat with morning N winds
• Tiny W'ly swell Mon with gusty S winds
• Better W/SW swell building Tue, peaking Wed with strong S winds
• Possible moderate sized S/SE swell late week but with onshore winds

Recap

Clean conditions early yesterday with a drop in swell from Monday and fun waves across Clifton. Today a reinforcing swell is keeping 2ft sets hitting the South Arm with a light, morning offshore wind.

This week and weekend (Dec 30 – Jan 2)

Into this afternoon our reinforcing pulse of mid-period SW swell is due, though seeing the size this morning it might already be in the water. 2ft sets should continue tomorrow morning before easing into the afternoon, down to 1ft+ on Friday.

Conditions will be great tomorrow and well worth making the most of with a light N/NW offshore ahead of weaker S/SE sea breezes, becoming stronger late afternoon and evening.

Friday will be great for beginners with a morning N'ly ahead of sea breezes.

A weak front passing under is during Friday will produce an off angle fetch of W/NW winds and not produce much in the way of surf with 1ft+ waves fading through Saturday under a morning offshore.

Into early next week, a tiny and weak W'ly swell is due, generated by a very weak frontal progression projecting up and under Western Australia over the coming days.

Size wise it doesn't look to offer much over 1ft+ into Monday and Tuesday.

Winds look dicey in any case with a surface trough deepening to our north-east bringing fresh S'ly winds Monday through Wednesday.

This will spoil a better W/SW swell due from stronger W'ly winds pushing in around a low on the weekend.

The trough itself may form into a strong low south-east of us, possibly producing some better S/SE swell later next week but we'll have a closer look at this Friday.