Southern Tasmanian Surf Forecast by Craig Brokensha (issued Wednesday December 8th)

Best Days: Sunday, Monday

Features of the Forecast (tl;dr)

• Tiny surf tomorrow with light W/SW tending fresh S/SE winds
• New, moderate sized SW groundswell building late Fri, easing Sat with S/SW-S winds on the former and S/SE-SE winds on the latter
• Reinforcing S/SW swell Sun with NE tending E/NE winds
• Smaller Mon with N/NE tending E/NE winds

Recap

Tiny, poor onshore surf yesterday with a weak, new swell for today but with average conditions.

This week and weekend (Dec 9 - 12)

Any swell from today is due to fade tomorrow and winds are a touch suss with a light, morning W/SW breeze, shifting S/SE through the morning.

This will be as a trough that moved through yesterday starts to strengthen north-east of us. A low will form on Friday and deepen bringing S/SW tending S winds.

The low is then due to drift south and broaden on the weekend and this will swing winds S/SE to SE on Saturday and then more offshore from the NE on Sunday morning (stronger E/NE into the afternoon).

Swell wise, a strong polar low that's currently tracking in from the west will bring a good SW groundswell for Friday afternoon and Saturday morning but it'll be spoilt by those local winds.

This low has generated a good fetch of gale to severe-gale W'ly winds in our swell window and the size looks to reach an easy 3ft across Clifton later Friday and Saturday morning.

A secondary weaker front trailing behind it should generate some reinforcing, mid-period S/SW swell for Sunday, maintaining 2-3ft sets before easing through the day.

With the improvement in winds there should be a few options.

Monday will be fun with fading 1-2ft sets and strengthening N/NE tending NE winds.

Longer term there's nothing too major on the cards so focus on Sunday and Monday.