Southern Tasmania Surf Forecast by Craig Brokensha (issued Wednesday November 24th)

Best Days: Sunday morning for beginners, Monday, Tuesday

Features of the Forecast (tl;dr)

• Tiny tomorrow with moderate W/SW tending strong S/SW winds
• New W/SW swell Fri with gusty S/SE winds, easing Sat with light SE winds
• Tiny Sun with N tending SE winds
• Building W/SW groundswell Mon with NW tending variable winds, easing Tue with variable tending NE winds

Recap

Yesterday’s swell didn’t come in as big as expected with clean, tiny 1-1.5ft waves reported across Clifton, coming in around a similar size this morning.

This week and weekend (Nov 25 - 28)

The surf will remain tiny into tomorrow and winds now look average from the get go with a moderate W/SW breeze, shifting S/SW and becoming strong into the afternoon as a trough moves through.

This trough will form into a low off the far southern NSW coast, stalling through Friday and Saturday before slowly drifting off to the east Sunday.

Poor, gusty S/SE winds will be blowing into the South Arm through Friday, lighter but still SE on Saturday before swinging back offshore from the N’th on Sunday.

Size wise these winds will spoil a new W/SW groundswell that’s due Friday, generated by a healthy frontal system that’s currently west-southwest of us. 2-3ft waves are due when it peaks on Friday but with those poor winds, easing Saturday and tiny Sunday by the time it cleans up.

Moving into next week and a strengthening and broadening frontal system tracking east-southeast through our swell window will generate a great fetch of W/NW gales and some good W/SW groundswell for Monday afternoon and more so Tuesday morning.

Size wise the surf should build to 2ft Monday afternoon but with NW tending variable SE winds, easing from 2ft+ Tuesday with variable tending NE winds.

Following this the rest of the week looks tiny but not flat, though we’ll review this Friday.