Southern Tasmanian Surf Forecast by Craig Brokensha (issued Monday November 15th)

Best Days: Tomorrow morning protected spots, Wednesday morning, Saturday, Sunday morning protected spots

Features of the Forecast (tl;dr)

• Moderate sized S/SW swell easing tomorrow with mod-fresh W/SW tending SW winds
• Fading surf Wed with N/NW tending SE winds
• Tiny Thu
• Building SW swell later Fri with NW tending S/SE winds, peaking Sat with N tending fresh E/NE winds
• Easing swell Sun with E/NE winds

Recap

Small, onshore surf on Saturday, cleaner and much better yesterday. Today we've got a mix of swells and more size this afternoon but with onshore winds as a strong cold outbreak pushes east across us.

This week and weekend (Nov 16 – 21)

The strong polar frontal progression and cold outbreak responsible for our current swell and weather is moving off slowly to the east but we'll see one final intensification of strong S/SW winds projected up and into us this afternoon, keeping the swell up around 3ft tomorrow morning, then easing through the day.

This will unfortunately keep conditions below par though with moderate to fresh W/SW winds tomorrow morning, shifting SW through the morning. Try protected spots.

Wednesday is still the time to surf with a N/NW offshore ahead of SE sea breezes but smaller, easing surf from 1-2ft.

The surf will then be tiny but not flat through Thursday, ahead of some new, building mid-period energy through Friday, peaking Saturday.

This will be generated by a weak but favourably tracking polar front generating W/SW winds while projecting towards us later this week.

The swell will build later Friday to 1-2ft but with S/SE winds, better Saturday and N tending E/NE as the swell peaks to 2-3ft.

A trough deepening into a low north-east of us on Sunday looks to bring stronger E/NE winds as the swell eases.

Longer term there's continued, weak frontal activity through our swell window, producing small swells but more on this Wednesday.