Strong swell inbound for the weekend

Craig Brokensha picture
Craig Brokensha (Craig)

Southern Tasmania Surf Forecast by Craig Brokensha (issued Friday 26th February)

Best Days: Sunday, Monday morning, Wednesday morning

Features of the Forecast (tl;dr)

  • Strong SW groundswell building late tomorrow, peaking Sun AM with light morning winds, easing Mon with early variable winds ahead of a W/SW change
  • S/SW swell for Tue AM but with S/SW winds
  • New swell later next week/weekend

Recap

Tiny surf yesterday while a kick in swell was seen today with better winds than expected early (now onshore), offering clean 2ft surf across Clifton.

This week and weekend (Feb 27 – Mar 5)

Today's swell will fade tomorrow, leaving tiny waves across Clifton and winds look to linger out of the S'th, creating bumpy conditions.

Later in the day, our new, long-period and inconsistent SW groundswell should start to show, generated by the 'bombing' low in our far swell window earlier this week.

The low moved closer to us and more into our swell window while weakening, with it now breaking down south-west of us.

We should see a kick later tomorrow, reaching 2ft across Clifton but with sea breezes, peaking Sunday morning to 3ft to possibly 4ft, then easing, down from a smaller 2ft+ Monday.

Winds on Sunday look great with light N'ly breezes ahead of an afternoon S/SE'ly, variable early Monday ahead of a SW change late morning.

This change will be linked to a rapidly intensifying low moving across us, with a fetch of strong to near gale-force S/SW winds forecast to be projected into us Monday afternoon and evening.

A kick in size to an easy 3ft is expected Tuesday morning but with lingering S/SW-SW winds in the wake of the low.

Come Wednesday cleaner conditions are expected but with the swell fading from 1-2ft.

Longer term we may see a couple of good polar fronts skirting around a slow moving, blocking high west of is, bringing some fun swell Friday and into next weekend but we'll have to review this on Monday. Winds look favourable at this stage though. Have a great weekend!