Southern Tasmania Surf Forecast by Craig Brokensha (issued Monday 23rd September)

Best Days: Wednesday morning, Thursday early for keen surfers, Saturday, Sunday morning, Tuesday week

Recap

Nothing of note on the weekend, tiny Saturday and a little kick in size yesterday but with average winds.

Today a low forming south of us generated a pulse of S'ly swell to 2-3ft, with nice clean conditions.

This week and weekend (Sep 24 - 29)

Following today's little spike in swell, we'll see the coast go tiny into tomorrow.

A strengthening but relatively weak polar front forming south of us tomorrow, will project a fetch of S/SW winds through our southern swell window, generating a kick in swell for Wednesday.

We should see fun 2ft to occasionally 3ft sets as the swell peaks through the day, peakier than normal with the mid-period nature and winds from the W/NW in the morning, sea breezey into the afternoon.

Thursday will be clean all day with a N/NW tending variable breeze, and easing small 1-2ft sets.

Into the weekend, a new inconsistent long-period W/SW groundswell is due to fill in, generated by a strong polar low that's formed in the Heard Island region. This will move slowly east today and tomorrow, generating a fetch of severe-gale to storm-force W/SW winds before weakening Wednesday morning.

The remnants of this storm will push east and re-intensify under us Friday afternoon, kicking up a late and weak windswell, but Saturday should see the groundswell filling in, offering inconsistent 2ft to occasionally 3ft sets.

Winds look favourable Saturday and N/NW tending W/NW, while the swell looks to ease back to 2ft+ Sunday but steady with a reinforced but more W'ly swell.

Another low firing up on the tail of the first one, but pushing further east with more strength should produce a good W/SW-SW groundswell for Monday to 3-4ft. Winds unfortunately look onshore and W/SW tending S/SE in the wake of the front clipping the state, linked to the swell, clean Tuesday but easing from 2ft+.

Following this the window will go quiet for a little before possibly picking back up later next week, but more on this Wednesday.