Southern Tasmania Surf Forecast by Craig Brokensha (issued Monday 8th October)

Best Days: Thursday morning, Friday morning, Saturday morning

Recap

Fun waves over the weekend each morning with a drop in swell from Friday, kicking a bit again yesterday, with clean easing 2ft sets this morning.

Today’s Forecaster Notes are brought to you by Rip Curl

This week and weekend (Oct 9 – 14)

We've got a couple of days of poor conditions ahead as a strong high and polar front push in from the west this evening, bringing a strong onshore SW change shortly after dawn tomorrow morning. Early there may be light winds and leftover 1-2ft sets, but it'll be mostly a lay day.

The change will kick up a poor S/SW windswell, with some stronger but still weak mid-period S/SW swell due to fill in Wednesday.

We're looking at 2-3ft waves Wednesday but with poor onshore S'ly tending SE winds.

Thursday morning should be cleaner with a light morning W/NW breeze and easing 2ft sets.

Friday looks to be the pick of the period with a good new long-period SW groundswell due along with favourable winds.

A strong but tight polar low is expected to form this evening, with a fetch of severe-gale to storm-force W'ly winds projected along the polar shelf towards us, maintaining a bit of strength before continuing under us Thursday.

The only issue is the fetch size, but we should see a good long-period SW groundswell filling in Friday and reaching 3ft across Clifton with a N/NW tending NE wind ahead of E/SE sea breezes.

Saturday looks similar with N/NW tending E/NE winds and easing levels of swell from the 2ft range.

Longer term the outlook is slower with no major swells on the cards owing to the storm track focussing more up towards WA. Therefore make the most of the swell late week.