Small swells for the period

Craig Brokensha picture
Craig Brokensha (Craig)

Southern Tasmania Surf Forecast by Craig Brokensha (issued Monday 26th February)

Best Days: Tuesday morning, Friday morning, Saturday morning

Recap

Clean tiny surf to start Saturday ahead of an onshore change and increase in windswell with poor winds Sunday.

This morning conditions were much better with a light offshore wind and 2-3ft of S/SW swell.

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This week and weekend (Feb 27 – Mar 4)

The small trough responsible for the weekend's change and today's S/SW swell has cleared to the east, but we'll see some small S/SE swell hanging in off the back of the trough tomorrow morning to 1-2ft, fading through the day.

Conditions will be clean with a N'ly wind, swinging less favourably to the NE into the afternoon.

Wednesday morning should be clean again but the surf will be tiny.

Into Thursday afternoon and more so Friday/Saturday some new W/SW swell is expected, generated by a strong but distant polar low that's currently in the Heard Island region.

During today tomorrow and Wednesday we'll see a weakening but broadening fetch of strong to gale-force W/SW winds pushing east along the polar shelf, generating some new W/SW swell that's expected to start building later Thursday to 1-2ft, holding a similar size Friday with a morning NW wind.

Saturday will see less consistent long-period energy from the strongest part of the low, keeping 1-2ft sets hitting Clifton before easing through the afternoon, tiny Sunday.

Winds should be good again Saturday morning and offshore through the morning, with a SW change on Sunday.

Longer term there's nothing major on the cards.