Southern Tasmania Surf Forecast by Craig Brokensha (issued Wednesday 14th February)

Best Days: Protected spots tomorrow and Friday, Saturday, Monday morning

Recap

An increase in W/SW swell yesterday to 1-1.5ft with clean conditions through the morning, while today we've got a bit more swell with a strong change moving through.

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This week and weekend (Feb 15 - 18)

The swell's come up a little bigger than expected this morning, but through the end of the week and early Saturday we've got a lot more size on the cards.

Today's strong front will be followed by a secondary system this evening and early tomorrow, providing 2ft+ waves across Clifton tomorrow with gusty W/NW winds.

Of greater importance though is a strengthening and deep polar low south-southwest of us through tomorrow afternoon and evening.

We'll see a fetch of severe-gale to storm-force SW winds developing in our swell window, projecting north-east towards the Tasman Sea through Friday.

This will generate a large and powerful SW groundswell, building through Friday from 3ft in the morning to 4-5ft later in the day, peaking overnight and easing rapidly from the 4ft range Saturday morning, down to 2ft later in the day.

Winds will be only favourable for protected spots with an early W/NW breeze, tending strong W/SW mid-morning.

Saturday looks great with fresh NW breeze holding most of the day.

Moving into Sunday we'll see an onshore SW change move through, with some new SW swell due to fill in behind it.

Sunday will be mostly small but we may see a pulse of swell later in the day, with Monday morning seeing fun sets to 2ft+. Winds should be variable, though we'll confirm this Friday.