Good swells to come from Sunday
Southern Tasmania Surf Forecast by Craig Brokensha (issued Wednesday 7th September)
Best Days: Early Thursday exposed breaks, Sunday before the change, early Monday, early Tuesday, Wednesday morning
Recap
Good clean 2-3ft waves yesterday with good winds most of the day, easing back to 2ft this morning.
This week and weekend (Sep 8 - 11)
The surf should continue to ease into tomorrow, with fading 1ft to maybe 2ft sets under a fresh N'ly wind. Hit up magnets for the best waves.
There's then nothing significant on the cards until Sunday across the coast. We could see tiny 1ft waves later in the day Friday from a distant polar low, steadying Saturday.
Into Sunday though a strong W/SW groundswell is due from a vigorous polar low firing up south-west of WA.
A fetch of severe-gale to storm-force W/SW winds will be generated in our far swell window, pushing closer along the polar shelf through the end of this week.
A strong W/SW tending SW groundswell is due from this source, building Sunday and reaching a good 3ft across Clifton from about midday, early afternoon, easing back to 2-3ft Monday morning.
Conditions should be clean Sunday morning ahead of a mid-afternoon S/SW change, while Monday should see an early W/NW'ly ahead of a S/SW change.
Another strong pulse of SW groundswell is then due Monday afternoon and Tuesday morning, produced by another strong polar front tracking ideally along the polar shelf.
Good 3ft sets are due again, and Tuesday morning should see a NW'ly, tending onshore into the afternoon.
A couple more good pulses of swell are due through the rest of the week from persistent polar frontal activity, but more on this Friday.