Large swell for Sunday with decent conditions through the morning

Craig Brokensha picture
Craig Brokensha (Craig)

Southern Tasmania Surf Forecast by Craig Brokensha (issued Friday 25th March)

Best Days: Saturday morning, Sunday morning, Monday morning, Tuesday morning, Wednesday morning

Recap

The beginnings of a strong new SW swell were seen yesterday morning to 2ft, kicking harder to 2-3ft through the day, before backing off back to a fun 1-2ft this morning.

This weekend and next week (Mar 26 – Apr 1)

The last couple of days a strong frontal progression has generated a fetch of pre-frontal W/NW and then post-frontal SW gales through our western and south-western swell windows generating two pulses of separate swell.

The first W/SW groundswell may be seen later today, peaking tomorrow morning to 2ft or so, while into the mid-afternoon the new SW swell should fill in, offering better 2-3ft sets into the afternoon. Conditions will become bumpy though with a morning offshore NW breeze ahead of a W/SW change during the day.

Sunday's strong and powerful groundswell is still on track, with a very intense mid-latitude low currently firing up under WA, with a fetch of storm-force W/SW winds due to be generated through our western swell window.

A large long-period W/SW groundswell is expected to be generated, peaking Sunday morning across Clifton in the 4-5ft range with much larger waves at exposed breaks.

Winds for this swell are due to be from the NW through the morning across Clifton, swinging W/SW around midday, so get out before lunch if you've got the ability.

A couple of trailing fetches of strong to near gale-force SW winds on the back of the low should produce some reinforcing SW swell for Monday, with the surf not dropping below 3ft on the sets Monday (easing from 3-4ft early) and then 2-3ft Tuesday morning.

Conditions are looking good each morning with NW offshores ahead of sea breezes.

Longer term a strong polar low should generate an inconsistent SW groundswell for next Thursday/Friday with a possible stronger swell for the weekend, but more on this Monday. Have a great weekend!