Southern Tasmania Surf Forecast by Craig Brokensha (issued Wednesday 16th March)

Best Days: Exposed breaks Thursday morning, Saturday, Sunday morning, Monday for beginners, Tuesday

Recap

Onshore winds spoilt a good new swell yesterday, while today was better with a touch less size to 1-2ft under offshore tending NE winds.

This week and weekend (Mar 17 - 20)

Tiny fading waves are due into tomorrow with strengthening N/NE winds, favouring more exposed breaks over Clifton.

Clean conditions are due around dawn Friday but a strong onshore SW change will create poor conditions, with no decent increase in windswell due from this change.

This change will be linked to a couple of relatively weak cold fronts pushing in from the west, generating some new W/SW swell for Saturday. The best pulse is due into Saturday afternoon, with consistent 2ft sets due, easing back from 1-2ft Sunday morning.

Winds will be offshore early Saturday before the best of the swell fills in, but a SW change will create average conditions into the afternoon. Sunday will then be nice and offshore ahead of afternoon SE sea breezes.

Next week onwards (Mar 21 onwards)

A temporary low point is expected Monday but not below 1-1.5ft, ahead of a good new kick in long-period SW groundswell Tuesday.

This will be related to a vigorous polar low firing up under the country during the weekend, with a fetch of severe-gale to storm-force W/SW winds being generated in our south-west swell window.

The swell is expected to peak Tuesday morning with good strong 2-3ft sets due across Clifton with offshore N'ly tending N/NE winds.

Longer term there's some decent possibilities for the Easter Long Weekend, but we'll have a closer look at this on Friday.